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Retrospective report

Week of 24 August 2026

Week-Ahead Model - PASA_AVAIL

Per-region forecast accuracy for the Week-Ahead Model - PASA_AVAIL model group over the week of 24 August 2026.

Generated 1 September 2026 at 5:22 pm (Sydney time)

The evaluated model revision was published after this period started, so this report only covers the settlements that revision was live for.

RegionMAERMSEBiasAverage predicted priceAverage actual pricePrice spike windows
NSW122.8730.252.63$83.28$80.640
QLD120.4927.661.34$67.21$65.870
SA133.5049.48-6.85$79.66$86.510
VIC123.6533.20-9.81$67.43$77.240
Change in Forecasted Prices over the Prediction Interval in NSW1 using Week-Ahead Model - PASA_AVAILChange in Forecasted Prices over the Prediction Interval in QLD1 using Week-Ahead Model - PASA_AVAILChange in Forecasted Prices over the Prediction Interval in SA1 using Week-Ahead Model - PASA_AVAILChange in Forecasted Prices over the Prediction Interval in VIC1 using Week-Ahead Model - PASA_AVAIL